Thumbnail for E168: Can Google save itself? Abolish HR, AI takes over Customer Support, Reddit IPO teardown

E168: Can Google save itself? Abolish HR, AI takes over Customer Support, Reddit IPO teardown


Episode Details
Channel

All-In Podcast

Published

3/1/2024

Episode Summary

In this episode, the hosts Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, David Friedberg, and Chamath Palihapitiya dive into the ongoing controversy surrounding Google's AI model, Gemini. They analyze the 'Woke AI' disaster, where the model produced historically inaccurate and biased images, attributing the failure to an overly influential DEI culture and the power of internal groups like the 'responsible AI' team. The discussion centers on Google's CEO, Sundar Pichai, and whether founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin will intervene, drawing parallels to how Mark Zuckerberg course-corrected Meta. The incident sparks a broader debate on corporate culture, with Chamath Palihapitiya arguing for the complete abolishment of the traditional HR department, citing examples of promotion quotas from Shan Maguire's time at Google and Jason Calacanis's at AOL, advocating for a pure Meritocracy. The conversation shifts to the burgeoning market for AI Training Data, which Chamath Palihapitiya dubs 'Tac 2.0.' They examine recent licensing deals, such as Google's $60 million/year agreement with Reddit and a similar deal with Stack Overflow, contrasting this with The New York Times's lawsuit against OpenAI for copyright infringement. The practical impact of AI is highlighted through the case of Klarna, a fintech company that replaced 700 customer service agents with an AI assistant built with OpenAI technology. This success story led to a massive drop in the stock price of call center operator Teleperformance and raises questions about the future of companies like Zendesk and the potential for Open Source AI solutions. The hosts then provide a teardown of the Reddit IPO, analyzing the company's S1 filing. They note its strong user growth but very low ARPU compared to competitors, and discuss the risks of its direct share program for moderators. The fascinating history of Reddit's spin-out from Conde Nast, facilitated by investors like Sam Altman and led by current CEO Steve Huffman, is also explored. Finally, the episode briefly touches on Apple's decision to cancel its decade-long electric car initiative, Project Titan, to pivot resources toward AI, mentioning past talks between Tim Cook and Elon Musk about a potential Tesla acquisition.

Investment Ideas
Key Topics & People
Reddit
Reddit
Organization

Social networking platform preparing for a potential IPO.

Elon Musk
Elon Musk
Person

CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, referenced regarding Walter Isaacson's upcoming biography.

Host on the All-In Podcast who was absent during this episode.

Host on the All-In Podcast and entrepreneur.

Host on the All-In Podcast, software investor, and venture capitalist.

Host and moderator of the All-In Podcast.

Meta
Meta
Organization

The parent company of Facebook, heavily involved in open-sourcing hardware designs and AI models.

OpenAI
OpenAI
Organization

An AI research and deployment company that created ChatGPT.

Tesla
Organization

An electric vehicle and AI company building massive supercomputers for physical world inference.

Apple
Apple
Organization

A major technology company that brought its chip architecture in-house to optimize for its own product needs.

Google
Google
Organization

A leading technology company that developed its own AI chips and is active in AI model development.

CEO of OpenAI, currently advocating for pacing AI development due to agentic security risks.

Co-founder of Google, referenced in discussions about the company's long-term investment vision.

CEO of Google, responsible for leading its massive AI infrastructure push.

Gemini
Technology

Google's flagship generative AI model integrated into its enterprise workflows.

The New York Times
The New York Times
Organization

A major publication actively pursuing lawsuits against AI labs over unauthorized web scraping.

The text, media, and outputs used to train generative AI models.

CEO of Meta, who is initiating a price war by releasing strong agentic coding models at aggressively low prices.

Klarna
Klarna
Organization

A major financial services company utilizing AI voice agents for operations.

Tim Cook
Tim Cook
Person

CEO of Apple, who approved the litigation against OpenAI.

Prominent venture capitalist mentioned as having been warned about an incoming AI cartel orchestrated by the government.

AOL
AOL
Organization

An early internet pioneer used as an example of a business that rapidly lost its protective moat.

Co-founder of Google who debated Elon Musk regarding the protection of humanity versus digital intelligence.

DEI
Topic

Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion initiatives. The focus on DEI at Davos has reportedly diminished in favor of business and deal-making.

Woke AI
Topic

A term used by David Sacks to describe AI models with a built-in political bias, which he considers an Orwellian threat that could be used for censorship and population control.

The principle that advancement should be based on individual ability and achievement. Carolla argues this is being destroyed by DEI policies that prioritize identity over competence.

The upcoming Initial Public Offering of the social media company Reddit. The podcast discusses its potential $5 billion valuation, its under-monetization, and the value of its data for training large language models.

The movement and development of AI models with publicly accessible source code, such as Llama and Mistral, which are seen as a major competitive threat to closed-source models.

Co-founder and current CEO of Reddit, who was brought back to lead the company several years ago ahead of its IPO.

A component of Reddit's IPO strategy to allocate shares for purchase to its most active moderators and users, a move seen as potentially risky.

Conde Nast
Organization

The media conglomerate that acquired Reddit a year after its launch for about $10 million and later spun it out. It remains the largest shareholder ahead of the IPO.

S1
Topic

A registration statement filed with the SEC before a company can go public. Reddit's S1 provides financial details and business insights ahead of its IPO.

Zendesk
Zendesk
Organization

A customer service software company that was taken private. It's mentioned as an example of a business whose entire workflow could potentially be replaced by open-source AI agents.

ARPU
Topic

Average Revenue Per User. Reddit's ARPU is noted to be incredibly low at around $3.42, which is less than 10% of Facebook's, presenting both a challenge and a potential growth opportunity.

Teleperformance
Teleperformance
Organization

A French company that operates call centers. Its market capitalization dropped by $1.7 billion following the news of Klarna's successful AI implementation, highlighting the threat AI poses to traditional customer support businesses.

Tac 2.0
Topic

A term coined by Chamath Palihapitiya to describe the emerging business model of AI companies paying for unique data to train their models, analogous to the original Traffic Acquisition Cost (TAC) for search traffic.

The application of artificial intelligence to handle customer service inquiries. Klarna's success in this area is highlighted as a prime example of AI's real-world economic impact and potential for job displacement.

Stack Overflow
Stack Overflow
Organization

A question-and-answer website for programmers that has licensed its data to Google for training the Gemini AI model.

Human Resources departments are discussed critically, with Chamath Palihapitiya advocating for their elimination, arguing they often become conflict-creating entities and 'commissars' within organizations.

A partner at Sequoia who shared an experience from his time at Google where he was told he couldn't be promoted due to a quota system, despite being a high performer.

A former Google engineer who was fired after writing a memo complaining about political bias at the company, highlighting the risks for employees who speak up.

A team or group within Google tasked with ensuring AI principles are followed. It is criticized in the discussion for having too much power and creating a one-sided problem where disagreeing with them leads to being labeled a racist.

A communications expert at Activision who wrote a scorching critique of Sundar Pichai's memo, calling it a 'failure of leadership'.

Apple's canceled electric vehicle project. The company had invested billions and employed around 2,000 people with the goal of creating a high-end EV to compete with Tesla.

A former CEO of Reddit (Yishan Wong) who published a post detailing the alleged 'long game' plan to spin Reddit out from its corporate owner, Conde Nast.

Sequoia
Organization

A prominent venture capital firm where Shan Maguire is currently a partner.