2026 Midterms

Event

The upcoming US congressional elections heavily predicted to favor a Democratic House takeover.


First Mentioned

7/24/2026, 6:30:45 AM

Last Updated

7/24/2026, 6:31:47 AM

Research Retrieved

7/24/2026, 6:31:47 AM

Summary

The 2026 United States midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, during Donald Trump's nonconsecutive second term as president. The elections will determine the composition of the 120th United States Congress by contesting all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 seats in the U.S. Senate, along with 39 state and territorial gubernatorial races. Statistical forecaster Nate Silver predicts a high probability of Democrats taking back the House, while control of the Senate remains a toss-up. Macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, such as the conflict in Iran and its impact on gas prices, alongside voter registration investigations and deep political polarization, are key issues shaping the electoral landscape.

Research Data
Extracted Attributes
  • Election Date

    2026-11-03

  • Gubernatorial Races

    39 state and territorial elections

  • House Seats Contested

    435 seats

  • Senate Seats Contested

    35 seats

  • Target Legislative Body

    120th United States Congress

Timeline
  • Donald Trump makes public statements regarding the 2026 midterm elections. (Source: undefined)

    2026-01-16

  • Donald Trump comments on taking over voting procedures ahead of the midterms. (Source: undefined)

    2026-02-02

  • The 2026 United States midterm elections take place nationwide. (Source: undefined)

    2026-11-03

2026 United States elections

The 2026 United States elections are scheduled to be held, in large part, on November 3, 2026. In these midterm elections, scheduled to occur during Republican president Donald Trump's nonconsecutive second term, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress. 39 state and territorial U.S. gubernatorial elections, attorney general elections, and numerous state and local elections, will also be contested. The elections are taking place amid a series of federal investigations into the 2020 presidential election and into voter registration efforts, including the seizure of ballots from the Fulton County, Georgia, election center and an FBI search of the offices of the Ohio Organizing Collaborative, an Ohio voter registration organization. Election experts and Democratic officials have characterized the investigations as efforts to intimidate election officials and voters ahead of the midterms, while the Justice Department has said the searches were court-authorized.

Web Search Results
  • 2026 Midterm Election Calendar — BallotReady for Organizations

    Skip to Content BallotReady for Organizations BallotReady for Organizations Connect with us BallotReady for Organizations BallotReady for Organizations Connect with us # 2026 Midterm Election Calendar Following the outcomes in 2024, the 2026 election cycle is set to be one of the most consequential midterm election cycles in modern history. According to our research, there will be over 40,000 open seats on the ballot on November 3, 2026. This includes every House seat, 35 Senate seats, and thousands more at the state and local level. View the full 2026 Election Calendar BallotReady research on upcoming races in 2026 is ongoing and subject to change. ### View the full 2026 Election Calendar:

  • 2026 Midterm Elections predictions & odds

    ## About the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections The 2026 United States midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, and will determine the composition of the 120th United States Congress alongside a broad range of state and local offices. All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, 35 of the 100 Senate seats, 36 gubernatorial positions across U.S. states, and numerous state legislative, executive, and local races will appear on ballots nationwide. These are the first national midterms to take place during a non-consecutive presidential second term since 1894, as President Donald Trump returns to office following the Republi...Read more ## FAQ ### What is Polymarket? ### How accurate are Polymarket's midterm election odds? [...] # 2026 Midterms Election Odds & Predictions 2026 Midterm Election Odds & Predictions Midterm Election Odds & Predictions 56% chance Republicans keep the Senate ## 56% chance Republicans keep the Senate 87% chance Democrats take the House ## 87% chance Democrats take the House ## Referendums Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? 66% chance no Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? 82% chance no Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? 82% chance no Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? 92% chance yes Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? 66% chance no Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? 82% chance no [...] | | Democrat | 39% | | Michigan Senate Election Winner | Democrat | 70% | | | Republican | 31% | | NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory | Lasher <5% | 98% | | | Lasher 15%+ | 1% | | | Lasher 5–10% | 1% | | Montana Senate Election Winner | Republican | 90% | | | Independent | 9% | | | Democrat | 1% | | MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner | Cori Bush | 56% | | | Wesley Bell | 45% | | North Carolina Senate Election Winner | Roy Cooper (D) | 87% | | | Michael Whatley (R) | 14% | | Wisconsin Governor Election Winner | Democrat | 56% | | | Republican | 44% | | MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner | Donavan McKinney | 75% | | | Shri Thanedar | 21% | | Minnesota Governor Election Winner | Democrat | 94% | | | Republican | 3% | | MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner | William Lawrence | 68% |

  • What history tells us about the 2026 midterm elections

    Events between now and November 2026 could change these views. Economists could be wrong about the inflationary effects of tariffs and mass deportations. The rising inventory of unsold houses could halt the relentless increase in home prices, and interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve Board could reduce the cost of home mortgages. The recent slowdown in the labor market could turn out to be temporary. And because most of the Medicaid cuts do not begin to take effect until after the midterm elections, and even more are delayed until after the 2028 presidential contest, voters could decide that the issue had been overhyped by Trump’s adversaries. [...] The 2026 midterms will have important consequences for the remaining two years of Donald Trump’s presidency. But whatever happens next November, the 2028 presidential election will begin in earnest the very next day, and it will be a whole new ballgame. Related Content Weather forecaster Andrew Hagen works at his station at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, U.S. on May 30, 2025. Elaine Kamarck August 21, 2025 A gavel and a block is pictured on the judge's bench in this illustration picture taken in the Sussex County Court of Chancery in Georgetown, Delaware, U.S., on June 9, 2021. Russell Wheeler August 14, 2025 [...] If Republicans are to have a serious chance of retaining control of the House, President Trump will have to improve his job approval significantly. A widely used unweighted average of recent surveys places his approval at 45.8% and disapproval at 50.9%, a net of -5.1. An average that weights polls for recency, quality, and other factors finds 44.3% approval and 52.2% disapproval, a net of -7.9. The president’s standing is especially low among groups that shifted toward him in last year’s presidential election—just 28% approval among Hispanics and Independents and 29% among young adults ages 18 to 29.

  • The 2026 midterms in 6 charts — BallotReady for Organizations

    To learn more about the wide scope of our data collection (including current officeholders, candidate contact information, ballot measures, polling locations, and more), please explore our data packages and API below. Learn more about BallotReady Data Products #### A busy 2026 primary cycle will include over 50,000 races in the first half of the year #### Voters in every single state have something at stake in the upcoming midterms #### There are 35 open Senate seats in 2026 including special elections to fill the remaining terms of J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio #### There are 36 states that will pick their next Governor, with competitive races taking shape across the country #### In 2026, there will over 18,000 open school board seats and 19,000 open city council seats on the ballot [...] Skip to Content BallotReady for Organizations BallotReady for Organizations Connect with us BallotReady for Organizations BallotReady for Organizations Connect with us # The 2026 midterms in 6 charts Written By Team BallotReady #### Navigate the 2026 election landscape with our team At BallotReady, we believe that strategic investment in local elections, candidates, and officeholders is key to achieving political change and strengthening our democracy. This conviction drives our mission to provide comprehensive, accessible information that empowers organizations and voters all the way down ballot.

  • 2026 United States elections

    119. ↑ "Independent Candidates & the 2026 Midterms" (PDF). Independent Center. July 15, 2026. Retrieved July 16, 2026. 120. ↑ "Generic Ballot: Dem 47% GOP 45%; Dems Still Have Healthy Enthusiasm Edge". Napolitan News Service. July 15, 2026. Retrieved July 16, 2026. 121. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Yokley, Eli. "Tracking the 2026 Midterm Elections". Morning Consult. Retrieved July 8, 2026. 122. ↑ "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF). YouGov. July 14, 2026. Retrieved July 16, 2026. 123. ↑ "July 2026 Voter Omnibus Topline – External" (PDF). Echelon Insights. July 14, 2026. Retrieved July 16, 2026. 124. ↑ "Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll" (PDF). Harvard–Harris Poll. July 14, 2026. Retrieved July 16, 2026. [...] 26. ↑ "Donald Trump Says US 'Shouldn't Have an Election' Amid 2026 Midterms". Yahoo News. January 16, 2026. Retrieved January 19, 2026. 27. ↑ Washington, Lara Spirit (January 16, 2026). "Trump was 'only joking' about cancelling midterm elections". The Times. Retrieved January 19, 2026. 28. ↑ "Trump: 'We should take over the voting'". Democracy Docket. February 2, 2026. Retrieved February 4, 2026. 29. ↑ "Steve Bannon says ICE will 'surround the polls' as Trump doubles down on taking over elections". Democracy Docket. February 4, 2026. Retrieved February 4, 2026. 30. ↑ Tyler, Presley Bo (April 2, 2025). "SAVE Act may make voting process more difficult for some due changes in registration". USA Today. Archived from the original on April 7, 2025. Retrieved May 17, 2025. [...] 142. ↑ "60% Of Voters Think U.S. Military Action Against Iran Was Not Worth It, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Nearly Half Think U.S. Is Too Supportive Of Israel, A New High". Quinnipiac University. June 24, 2026. Retrieved June 24, 2026. 143. ↑ Morris, G. Elliott (June 24, 2026). "Poll: Only 18% think U.S. achieved its goals in Iran, as Trump's approval hovers at historic low". Strength In Numbers. Retrieved June 24, 2026. 144. ↑ "The Swing Voters of the 2026 Midterms Want Democrats to Tax the Rich". Data for Progress. July 9, 2026. Retrieved July 9, 2026. 145. ↑ "New Survey: Trump Approval Lags as Voters Weigh 2026 Midterms". Quantus Insights. June 18, 2026. Retrieved July 8, 2026.