
inflation
The rate of increase in prices over a given period. The podcast discusses the Federal Reserve's role in managing it, Kevin Warsh's reputation as an 'inflation hawk,' and AI's potential deflationary impact.
First Mentioned
2/7/2026, 11:23:51 PM
Last Updated
2/7/2026, 11:28:20 PM
Research Retrieved
2/7/2026, 11:28:20 PM
Summary
Inflation is an economic phenomenon characterized by a sustained increase in the general price level of goods and services, which results in the erosion of a currency's purchasing power. It is primarily measured through indices like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI). Economists distinguish between "demand-pull" inflation, where demand exceeds supply, and "cost-push" inflation, driven by rising production costs. While central banks typically target a stable rate of approximately 2% to 3% to encourage economic growth and labor market flexibility, high or volatile inflation can lead to uncertainty, reduced investment, and hoarding. In the context of U.S. monetary policy, figures like Kevin Warsh are identified as "inflation hawks" who advocate for restrictive measures such as quantitative tightening to curb rising prices.
Referenced in 1 Document
Research Data
Extracted Attributes
Primary Drivers
Money supply growth, demand-pull, cost-push, and inflation expectations
Negative Effects
Reduced purchasing power, investment uncertainty, and increased opportunity cost of holding money
Positive Effects
Reduced unemployment due to nominal wage rigidity and greater central bank flexibility
Economic Opposite
Deflation
Target Annual Rate
2% to 3% (standard for developed economies like Australia and the US)
Primary Measurement
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Alternative Measurement
Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI)
Timeline
- The average cost of a cup of coffee in the United States was $0.25, illustrating lower historical price levels. (Source: McKinsey)
1970-01-01
- U.S. President Gerald Ford declared inflation 'Public Enemy No. 1' during a speech to Congress. (Source: International Monetary Fund)
1974-10-08
- The average cost of a cup of coffee in the United States rose to $1.59, demonstrating the long-term effects of inflation on purchasing power. (Source: McKinsey)
2019-01-01
- The Congressional Research Service updated its report on the U.S. economy and the causes of inflation. (Source: Congress.gov)
2025-04-01
Wikipedia
View on WikipediaInflation
In economics, inflation is an increase in the average price of goods and services in terms of money. This increase is measured using a price index, typically a consumer price index (CPI). When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services; consequently, inflation corresponds to a reduction in the purchasing power of money. The opposite of inflation is deflation, a decrease in the general price level of goods and services. The common measure of inflation is the inflation rate, the annualized percentage change in a general price index. Changes in inflation are widely attributed to increases in the money supply, fluctuations in real demand for goods and services (also known as demand shocks, including changes in fiscal or monetary policy), changes in available supplies such as during energy crises (also known as supply shocks), significant decreases in interest rates set by the central bank, or changes in inflation expectations, which may be self-fulfilling. Moderate inflation affects economies in both positive and negative ways. The negative effects would include an increase in the opportunity cost of holding money; uncertainty over future inflation, which may discourage investment and savings; and, if inflation were rapid enough, shortages of goods as consumers begin hoarding out of concern that prices will increase in the future. Positive effects include reducing unemployment due to nominal wage rigidity, allowing the central bank greater freedom in carrying out monetary policy, encouraging loans and investment instead of money hoarding, and avoiding the inefficiencies associated with deflation. Today, most economists favour a low and steady rate of inflation. Low (as opposed to zero or negative) inflation reduces the likelihood of economic recessions by enabling the labor market to adjust more quickly and reduces the risk that a liquidity trap prevents monetary policy from stabilizing the economy, while also avoiding the costs associated with high inflation. The task of keeping the rate of inflation low and stable is usually given to central banks that control monetary policy, normally through the setting of interest rates and by carrying out open market operations.
Web Search Results
- Inflation - Wikipedia
Inflation is the decrease in the purchasing power of a currency. That is, when the general level of prices rise, each monetary unit can buy fewer goods and services in aggregate. The effect of inflation differs on different sectors of the economy, with some sectors being adversely affected while others benefitting. For example, with inflation, those segments in society which own physical assets, such as property, stock etc., benefit from the price/value of their holdings going up, when those who seek to acquire them will need to pay more for them. Their ability to do so will depend on the degree to which their income is fixed. For example, increases in payments to workers and pensioners often lag behind inflation, and for some people income is fixed. Also, individuals or institutions with [...] Given that there are many possible measures of the price level, there are many possible measures of price inflation. Most frequently, the term "inflation" refers to a rise in a broad price index representing the overall price level for goods and services in the economy. The consumer price index (CPI), the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) and the GDP deflator are some examples of broad price indices. However, "inflation" may also be used to describe a rising price level within a narrower set of assets, goods or services within the economy, such as commodities (including food, fuel, metals), tangible assets (such as real estate), services (such as entertainment and health care), or labor "Labour (economics)"). Although the values of capital assets are often casually [...] In economics, inflation is an increase in the average price of goods and services in terms of money.: 579 This increase is measured using a price index, typically a consumer price index (CPI). When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services; consequently, inflation corresponds to a reduction in the purchasing power of money. The opposite of inflation is deflation, a decrease in the general price level of goods and services. The common measure of inflation is the inflation rate, the annualized percentage change in a general price index.: 22–32
- Introduction to U.S. Economy: Inflation - Congress.gov
Updated April 1, 2025 (IF10477) What Is Inflation? Inflation is defined as a general increase in the price of goods and services across the economy, or, in other words, a general decrease in the value of money. Conversely, deflation is a general decrease in the price of goods and services across the economy, or a general increase in the value of money. [...] Causes of Inflation Inflation is largely the result of two different phenomena, which are often referred to as demand-pull and cost-push inflation. Demand-pull inflation occurs when demand for goods and services within the economy exceeds the economy's capacity to produce goods and services. As demand exceeds supply within the economy—"too much money chasing too few goods"—there is upward pressure placed on prices, resulting in rising inflation. [...] Inflation's Impact on the Economy Inflation tends to interfere with pricing mechanisms in the economy, resulting in individuals and businesses making less than optimal spending, saving, and investment decisions. Additionally, in the presence of inflation, economic actors often engage in actions to protect themselves from the negative impacts of inflation, diverting resources from other, more productive activities.
- What is inflation: The causes and impact | McKinsey
Inflation refers to a broad rise in the prices of goods and services across the economy over time, eroding purchasing power for both consumers and businesses. Economic theory and practice, observed for many years and across many countries, shows that long-lasting periods of inflation are caused in large part by what’s known as an easy monetary policy. In other words, when a country’s central bank sets the interest rate too low or increases money growth too rapidly, inflation goes up. As a result, your dollar (or whatever currency you use) will not go as far today as it did yesterday. For example: in 1970, the average cup of coffee in the United States cost 25 cents; by 2019, it had climbed to $1.59. So for $5, you would have been able to buy about three cups of coffee in 2019, versus 20 [...] What is inflation: The causes and impact | McKinsey Skip to main content What is inflation? Print Save # What is inflation? | Article Print Save Inflation is the gradual loss of purchasing power, reflected in a broad rise in prices for goods and services. " " ### DOWNLOADS Article (7 pages) [...] How does inflation affect your daily life? You’ve probably seen high rates of inflation reflected in your bills—from groceries to utilities to even higher mortgage payments. Executives and corporate leaders have had to reckon with the effects of inflation too, figuring out how to protect margins while paying more for raw materials. But inflation isn’t all bad. In a healthy economy, annual inflation is typically in the range of two percentage points, which is what economists consider a sign of pricing stability. When inflation is in this range, it can have positive effects: it can stimulate spending and thus spur demand and productivity when the economy is slowing down and needs a boost. But when inflation begins to surpass wage growth, it can be a warning sign of a struggling economy.
- Inflation: Prices on the Rise - International Monetary Fund
Inflation is the rate of increase in prices over a given period of time. Inflation is typically a broad measure, such as the overall increase in prices or the increase in the cost of living in a country. But it can also be more narrowly calculated—for certain goods, such as food, or for services, such as a haircut, for example. Whatever the context, inflation represents how much more expensive the relevant set of goods and/or services has become over a certain period, most commonly a year. ###### Measuring inflation [...] ## F&D Magazine ## Inflation: Prices on the Rise Ceyda Oner Back to Basics Credit: ISTOCK / RASTUDIO 6 min (1555 words) Read Download PDF ##### BACK TO BASICS COMPILATION Inflation measures how much more expensive a set of goods and services has become over a certain period, usually a year It may be one of the most familiar words in economics. Inflation has plunged countries into long periods of instability. Central bankers often aspire to be known as “inflation hawks.” Politicians have won elections with promises to combat inflation, only to lose power after failing to do so. Inflation was even declared Public Enemy No. 1 in the United States—by President Gerald Ford in 1974. What, then, is inflation, and why is it so important? [...] Inflation can also distort purchasing power over time for recipients and payers of fixed interest rates. Take pensioners who receive a fixed 5 percent yearly increase to their pension. If inflation is higher than 5 percent, a pensioner’s purchasing power falls. On the other hand, a borrower who pays a fixed-rate mortgage of 5 percent would benefit from 5 percent inflation, because the real interest rate(the nominal rate minus the inflation rate) would be zero; servicing this debt would be even easier if inflation were higher, as long as the borrower’s income keeps up with inflation. The lender’s real income, of course, suffers. To the extent that inflation is not factored into nominal interest rates, some gain and some lose purchasing power.
- Causes of Inflation | Explainer | Education | RBA
Skip to content Reserve Bank of Australia # Causes of Inflation Download the complete Explainer 165KB Inflation is an increase in the prices of goods and services. The most well-known indicator of inflation is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services consumed by households (see Explainer: Inflation and its Measurement). The CPI is the measure of inflation used by the Reserve Bank of Australia in its inflation target, where it aims to keep annual consumer price inflation between 2 and 3 per cent (see Explainer: Australia's Inflation Target). Other measures of inflation are also analysed, but most measures of inflation move in similar ways over the longer term.
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Inflation, 54-60, King Street, Melbourne, City of Melbourne, Victoria, 3000, Australia
Coordinates: -37.8189262, 144.9572129
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