Nate Silver

Extracted Attributes

• Award

  Webby Award (2012, 2013)

• Education

  University of Chicago

• Known For

  PECOTA

• Occupation

  Journalist

• Nationality

  American

• Notable Work

  The Signal and the Noise

• Date of Birth

  1978-01-13

• Place of Birth

  East Lansing, Michigan, United States

Timeline

• Born Nathaniel Read Silver. (Source: Wikidata, Wikipedia, DBPedia)

  1978-01-13

• Became a writer for Baseball Prospectus and sold his PECOTA forecasting system to them. (Source: DBPedia, Web Search)

  2003-XX-XX

• Began co-authoring the Baseball Prospectus annual book of Major League Baseball forecasts (continued until 2009). (Source: DBPedia)

  2003-XX-XX

• Resigned from KPMG and took the position of Executive Vice-President (later Managing Partner) of Baseball Prospectus. (Source: DBPedia)

  2004-XX-XX

• His election forecasting model correctly predicted the outcomes in 49 of 50 states in the U.S. presidential election. (Source: Summary, Wikipedia, DBPedia, Web Search)

  2008-XX-XX

• Named one of Time's 100 Most Influential People. (Source: Summary, Wikipedia, DBPedia)

  2009-XX-XX

• The FiveThirtyEight blog was licensed for publication by The New York Times. (Source: DBPedia)

  2010-XX-XX

• His forecasting system correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia in the U.S. presidential election. (Source: Wikipedia, DBPedia)

  2012-XX-XX

• His book, "The Signal and the Noise," was published, reaching The New York Times best seller list and named Amazon.com's #1 best nonfiction book of 2012. (Source: DBPedia, Web Search)

  2012-09-XX

• FiveThirtyEight won a Webby Award as the "Best Political Blog." (Source: DBPedia)

  2012-XX-XX

• FiveThirtyEight won a Webby Award as the "Best Political Blog." (Source: DBPedia)

  2013-XX-XX

• Sold FiveThirtyEight to ESPN. (Source: DBPedia)

  2013-07-XX

• The ESPN-owned FiveThirtyEight launched, focusing on data journalism across various subjects. (Source: DBPedia)

  2014-03-17

• Gave Donald Trump a 28.6% chance of victory in the presidential election, a higher estimate than most other scientific forecasts. (Source: Summary, Wikipedia, DBPedia)

  2016-XX-XX

• FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted Joe Biden's victory in the election, forecasting 48 out of 50 states correctly. (Source: Summary, Wikipedia, DBPedia)

  2020-XX-XX

• Departed FiveThirtyEight as editor-in-chief. (Source: Summary, Wikipedia)

  2023-05-XX

• Began publishing his online newsletter, Silver Bulletin. (Source: Summary, Wikipedia)

  2023-05-XX

• Discussed his new book "On The Edge" and provided analysis on the Harris vs. Trump election forecast. (Source: Web Search)

  2024-XX-XX

Nate Silver

Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, political analyst, author, sports gambler, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News until May 2023. Since departing FiveThirtyEight, Silver has been publishing in his online newsletter Silver Bulletin and serves as an advisor to Polymarket. Silver was named one of the world's 100 most influential people by Time in 2009 after his election forecasting model correctly predicted the outcomes in 49 of 50 states in the 2008 U.S. presidential election. His subsequent models predicted the outcome of the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections with high accuracy. Although he gave Donald Trump, the eventual winner, a 28.6% chance of victory in the 2016 presidential election, this was a higher estimate than any other scientific forecast. Much of Silver's approach can be characterized by using statistical models to understand complex social systems such as professional sports, the popularity of political platforms and elections.

Web Search Results

• [PDF] BIO

  Bureau sm Phone 908.253.8600 Web www.LeighBureau.com EMail info@LeighBureau.com bio Nate Silver  A math genius and celebrated baseball statistician whose uncannily accurate presidential election forecasts have shaken up the world of political polling.  Nate Silver has been called a “spreadsheet psychic” and “number-crunching prodigy” by New York Magazine. Nate comes out of the world of baseball statistics, but during the 2008 presidential election primaries, he turned his sights and his [...] Founder, FiveThirtyEight.com; Analyst, Baseball Prospectus; Author. Statistics FiveThirtyEight .com PECOTA Forecasting The Future and more… Topic Areas Baseball and politics are data-driven. Leigh W.ColstonLeigh, Inc. Bureau sm 92 East Main Street Suite 200 Somerville, New Jersey 08876 Phone.908.253.8600 Web. www.LeighBureau.com Statistics Forecasting  Nate Silver Founder, FiveThirtyEight.com. [...] Nate Silver began by predicting 2008 primary election results with stunning accuracy – and often in opposition to the better-known political pollsters. He then moved on to the general election, where he correctly predicted the presidential winner in 49 states and the District of Columbia. As Newsweek put it at the time: “an all star in the world of baseball stats, may be the political arena’s next big draw.” Newsweek was right.

• Nate Silver – FiveThirtyEight

  Skip to main content ### Nate Silver Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.” ## What To Do About A Problem Like Dianne Feinstein? FiveThirtyEight Filed under Politics Podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast ## Politics Podcast: Are America's Favorite Governors Really All Republicans? ## Live From New York: Will AI Replace This Podcast? [...] ### Performance Cookies Consent Leg.Interest label label label [...] By Galen Druke and Nate Silver Filed under Politics Podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast ## Live From New York: It's The FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast! ## How Our Presidential Endorsement Tracker Works By Nate Silver and Aaron Bycoffe Filed under Methodology ## Do You Buy That … Last Week’s Election In Wisconsin Was The Most Important Election Of 2023? By Nate Silver Filed under Do You Buy That ## How Concerned Are Americans About The Pitfalls Of AI? FiveThirtyEight

• Harris vs. Trump: Nate Silver's 2024 Election Forecast | Video - PBS

  CHRISTIANE AMANPOUR, CHIEF INTERNATIONAL ANCHOR: Now, with the U.S. presidential election edging closer, all eyes are seriously focused on candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Nate Silver, the prophetic pollster and poker player who founded the website, 538, has a new bulletin with all the latest analysis. He also has a new book detailing how much like in poker, risk taking could be the key to success. And Nate Silver is joining Walter Isaacson to discuss how bold action could be a game [...] ISAACON: Nate Silver, thank you so much for joining us. SILVER: Thank you, Walter. About This Episode EXPAND Ambassador Rahm Emanuel weighs in on conflicts around the globe. Swedish activist Anna Ardin on her new book “No Heroes, No Monsters.” Nate Silver on his new book “On The Edge,” which details how risk-taking could be key to success in November. LEARN MORE WEEKDAYS ON PBS (check local listings) [...] SILVER: I think it’s pretty genetic. I talked to a man named Victor Vescovo in the book, who’s kind of the ultimate risk-taker. He has climbed the seven summits, the seven highest mountain peaks on every continent. He’s gone to the depths of the five oceans. He’s gone into outer space. He’s been a fighter pilot. And he’s like, when I talk to other people who are taking these risks, because he knows, if you’re on a mountain 28,000 feet high, right, you can’t control every risk. There’s some

• Nate Silver - Wikipedia

  Silver was born in East Lansing, Michigan, to Sally (née Thrun), a community activist, and Brian David Silver, a former chair of the political science department at Michigan State University.( Silver's mother's family was of English and German descent. His maternal great-grandfather, Harmon Lewis, was president of the Alcoa Steamship Company, Inc.( Silver's father's family includes two uncles—Leon Silver and Caswell Silver—who were distinguished geologists. Silver has described himself as [...] Between 2003 and 2009, Silver co-authored the _Baseball Prospectus_ annual book of Major League Baseball forecasts,( as well as other books, including _Mind Game: How the Boston Red Sox Got Smart, Won a World Series, and Created a New Blueprint for Winning_,( Between the Numbers_,( and _It Ain't Over 'til It's Over: The Baseball Prospectus Pennant Race Book_.( [...] In 2003, Silver became a writer for _Baseball Prospectus_ (BP), after having sold PECOTA to BP in return for a partnership interest. After resigning from KPMG in 2004, he took the position of Executive Vice-President, later renamed Managing Partner of BP. Silver further developed PECOTA and wrote a weekly column under the heading "Lies, Damned Lies". He applied sabermetric techniques to a broad range of topics including forecasting the performance of individual players, the economics of

• Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) / X

  Image 21: Square profile picture NBC News @NBCNews · Sep 23, 2020 Reporter: "Win, lose or draw in this election, will you commit here today for a peaceful transferal of power after the election?" President Trump: "We're going to have to see what happens." Image 22 1.4K 8.2K 43K []( New to X? --------- Sign up now to get your own personalized timeline! Sign up with Apple Create account By signing up, you agree to the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy, including Cookie Use. [...] []( Image 10 Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · Nov 7, 2020 Anybody who's like "we'll that was a pretty good showing for Trump!" should consider how Hillary Clinton was treated as the World's Biggest Loser after an election with the same Electoral College margin as this one. But where she won the popular vote instead of losing it by 5 844 11K 57K []( Image 11 Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · Sep 13, 2018 I know there's a lot of competition but this is the worst thing he's ever tweeted. [...] Terms of Service | Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy | More © 2025 X Corp.

• Award

  Webby Award

• Image

  

• Gender

  male

• Educated At

  University of Chicago

• Instance Of

  Q5

• Occupation

  journalist

• Citizenship

  United States

• Date Of Birth

  1/13/1978

• Notable Work

  FiveThirtyEight

• Place Of Birth

  East Lansing

Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics), basketball, and elections (see psephology). He is the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009. Silver was named one of The World's 100 Most Influential People by Time in 2009 after an election forecasting system he developed successfully predicted the outcomes in 49 of the 50 states in the 2008 U.S. Presidential election. In the 2012 United States presidential election, the forecasting system correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia. FiveThirtyEight, like many outlets, said Donald Trump had a lower probability of victory in the 2016 presidential election than Hillary Clinton. However, the 28% chance of victory they gave Trump going into election day was significantly higher than that of most other analysts, and FiveThirtyEight discussed a Trump win as a distinct possibility, while most media treated it as a remote, if not near-impossible, outcome. In 2020, FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted Joe Biden's victory in the election, forecasting 48 out of 50 states correctly. However, while FiveThirtyEight viewed the actual results as a plausible scenario, it significantly overestimated Biden's margins in battleground states such as Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. In 2010, the FiveThirtyEight blog was licensed for publication by The New York Times. In 2012 and 2013, FiveThirtyEight won Webby Awards as the "Best Political Blog" from the International Academy of Digital Arts and Sciences. In July 2013, Silver sold FiveThirtyEight to ESPN, and became the blog's Editor in Chief. The ESPN-owned FiveThirtyEight launched on March 17, 2014. The site focused on a broad range of subjects under the rubric of "data journalism". Silver's book, The Signal and the Noise, was published in September 2012. It subsequently reached The New York Times best seller list for nonfiction, and was named by Amazon.com as the No. 1 best nonfiction book of 2012. The Signal and the Noise won the 2013 Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science. The book has been translated into eleven languages: Chinese (separate editions in traditional and simplified characters), Czech, Finnish, German, Italian, Polish, Portuguese, Romanian, Russian, and Spanish.