Rolling Real Estate Crisis

Event

A protracted crisis in the real estate market, particularly commercial, where problems emerge over time as loans mature and leases expire, forcing refinancing and repricing at unfavorable new rates.


First Mentioned

1/4/2026, 3:45:36 AM

Last Updated

1/4/2026, 3:47:29 AM

Research Retrieved

1/4/2026, 3:47:29 AM

Summary

The Rolling Real Estate Crisis refers to the ongoing financial distress within the commercial real estate (CRE) sector, specifically targeting the office market. This crisis is characterized by declining property values and the resulting strain on regional banks and pension funds that hold these assets. To mitigate immediate fallout, many financial institutions have adopted a "pretend and extend" strategy, which involves restructuring loans to avoid foreclosures and the recognition of significant losses. The event was a key topic of discussion in early 2024 among tech and finance commentators, who noted its emergence alongside the recovery of the SaaS sector and the rise of AI-driven investment strategies.

Referenced in 1 Document
Research Data
Extracted Attributes
  • Primary Sector

    Commercial Real Estate (CRE)

  • Financial Strategy

    Pretend and Extend (delaying foreclosures to avoid realizing losses)

  • Specific Market Focus

    Distressed Office Market

  • Impacted Financial Institutions

    Regional Banks and Pension Funds

Timeline
  • The Rolling Real Estate Crisis is analyzed in depth during episode E165 of the All-In podcast, highlighting the distress in the office market and the 'pretend and extend' tactics used by banks. (Source: fa6f8fa4-15ac-4405-9c29-3a4f4cfa393c)

    2024-02-09

  • The crisis continues to unfold as regional banks manage high-interest rates and declining occupancy in commercial office spaces. (Source: fa6f8fa4-15ac-4405-9c29-3a4f4cfa393c)

    2024-01-01

Real estate

Real estate is a property consisting of land and the buildings on it, along with its natural resources such as growing crops (e.g. timber), minerals or water, and wild animals; immovable property of this nature; an interest vested in this (also) an item of real property, (more generally) buildings or housing in general. In terms of law, real relates to land property and is different from personal property, while estate means the "interest" a person has in that land property. Real estate is different from personal property, which is not permanently attached to the land (or comes with the land), such as vehicles, boats, jewelry, furniture, tools, and the rolling stock of a farm and farm animals. In the United States, the transfer, owning, or acquisition of real estate can be through business corporations, individuals, nonprofit corporations, fiduciaries, or any legal entity as seen within the law of each U.S. state.

Web Search Results
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  • The 2026 Housing Market - Where We Go From Here

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