Swing States

Location

States identified as critical battlegrounds that will likely determine the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election.


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8/24/2025, 1:44:18 AM

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8/24/2025, 1:47:49 AM

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8/24/2025, 1:47:49 AM

Summary

In United States politics, a swing state, also known as a battleground, toss-up, or purple state, is a state where either the Democratic or Republican candidate could reasonably win a statewide election, particularly presidential elections. These states are critical due to the winner-take-all method for presidential electors, which leads campaigns to concentrate their efforts, advertising, and candidate visits on these competitive areas. Unlike 'safe states' that consistently lean towards one party, swing states' political leanings can shift across election cycles, influenced by factors such as polling data, demographics, and the appeal of the nominees. For the 2024 United States presidential election, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are widely identified as the key swing states, a status also held by many of these states in the 2020 election.

Referenced in 1 Document
Research Data
Extracted Attributes
  • Contrast

    Safe states (Red states, Blue states)

  • Definition

    A state that could reasonably be won by either the Democratic or Republican candidate in a statewide election.

  • Also known as

    Battleground state, Toss-up state, Purple state

  • Campaign focus

    Receive majority of advertisements and candidate visits

  • Primary context

    United States presidential elections

  • Significance mechanism

    Winner-take-all method for presidential electors

  • Key Swing States (2020)

    Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

  • Key Swing States (2024)

    Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

  • Factors influencing change

    Polling data, demographics, ideological appeal of nominees

  • Historical Swing State (2004)

    Ohio

  • Historical Swing States (1888)

    Ohio, Connecticut, Indiana, New Jersey, New York

  • Historical Swing States (1960)

    Illinois, Texas

  • Historical Swing States (2000)

    Florida, New Hampshire

Timeline
  • Ohio, Connecticut, Indiana, New Jersey, and New York were key swing states in the US presidential election. (Source: Web Search Results)

    1888

  • Illinois and Texas were key swing states in the US presidential election. (Source: Web Search Results)

    1960

  • Florida and New Hampshire were key swing states in the US presidential election. (Source: Web Search Results)

    2000

  • Ohio was an important swing state in the US presidential election. (Source: Web Search Results)

    2004

  • Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin were instrumental swing states in the US presidential election, with winning margins less than 3%. (Source: Web Search Results)

    2020

  • Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are widely considered the crucial swing states for the US presidential election. (Source: Summary, Wikipedia, Related Documents)

    2024

Swing state

In United States politics, a swing state (also known as battleground state, toss-up state, or purple state) is any state that could reasonably be won by either the Democratic or Republican candidate in a statewide election, most often referring to presidential elections, by a swing in votes. These states are usually targeted by both major-party campaigns, especially in competitive elections. Meanwhile, the states that regularly lean to a single party are known as "safe states" (or more specifically as "red states" and "blue states" depending on the partisan leaning), as it is generally assumed that one candidate has a base of support from which a sufficient share of the electorate can be drawn without significant investment or effort by the campaign. In the 2024 United States presidential election, seven states were widely considered to be the crucial swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Due to the winner-take-all method that most states use to determine their presidential electors, candidates often campaign only in competitive states, which is why a select group of states frequently receives a majority of the advertisements and candidate visits. The battlegrounds may change in certain election cycles and may be reflected in overall polling, demographics, and the ideological appeal of the nominees.

Web Search Results
  • Swing state - Wikipedia

    In United States politics, a swing state (also known as battleground state, toss-up state, or purple state) is any state that could reasonably be won by either the Democratic "Democratic Party (United States)") or Republican "Republican Party (United States)") candidate in a statewide election, most often referring to presidential elections, by a swing "Swing (politics)") in votes. These states are usually targeted by both major-party campaigns, especially in competitive elections. Meanwhile, [...] Swing states have generally changed over time. For instance, the swing states of Ohio, Connecticut, Indiana, New Jersey and New York were key to the outcome of the 1888 election. Likewise, Illinois and Texas were key to the outcome of the 1960 election, Florida and New Hampshire were key in deciding the 2000 election, and Ohio was important during the 2004 election. Ohio has gained its reputation as a regular swing state after 1980, and did not vote against the winner between 1960 and 2020. In [...] (U.S. state)"), Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

  • What are Swing States and Do They Matter | U.S. Vote Foundation

    A “swing state” - also referred to as a “battleground state,” “toss-up state,” or “purple state”- is a state that can be potentially won by (or “swing” to) either the Democratic or Republican presidential candidate, depending on the election. Swing states are usually won by a small margin of votes and could "swing" to a different party than in the previous election. [...] A “swing state” is a U.S.-specific phenomenon based on how the U.S. president is elected, namely the Electoral College system. To learn more about the Electoral College, check out our blog entitled Electoral College Explained: How is the U.S. President Elected? [...] In the 2020 presidential election, swing states like Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin were instrumental in deciding the election outcome. The winning vote margin between the candidates in these seven states was less than 3%. In 2024, the same states are expected to play an important role in deciding the election outcome. Historically, as the map demonstrates, more than seven states have been swing states. ### What Should I Do?

  • What are Swing States - POLYAS Election Glossary

    Colorado Florida Iowa Michigan Nevada New Hampshire North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania Virginia Wisconsin Of these swing states, the Hillary Clinton won Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire and Virginia, for a total of 32 electoral college votes. On the other hand, eventual winner Donald Trump took out Florida, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, for a total of 114 electoral college votes. [...] Voting Keypad Voting Machine Voting Power Voting Proxy Form Voting reminder W Web 2.0 Webster-Method Works Council Write-in Candidate X Y Z Swing States ============ Swing states are those in US presidential elections that could potentially be won by either candidate. Also known as battleground states, these states are where presidential candidates focus their energy and resources throughout the campaign period.

  • Swing states keep campaigns guessing - ShareAmerica

    Experts don’t always agree on which states are swing states. The Cook Political Report sees Arizona, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as toss-ups. Other experts would add New Hampshire, North Carolina and a handful of others to the list. Swing states and the Electoral College -------------------------------------- [...] October 29, 2020 While each major U.S. political party has many states it counts on winning in November’s presidential election, a handful of states are too close to predict. These “swing states” have populations that are closely divided politically. They have swung back and forth between Democratic and Republican candidates in recent years. They are the battleground states that candidates have targeted with campaign visits, advertising and staffing. [...] Afghanistan Albania Algeria Angola Argentina Armenia Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Bangladesh Barbados Belarus Belgium Belize Benin Bermuda Bolivia Bosnia & Herzegovina Botswana Brazil Brunei Bulgaria Burkina Faso Burma Burundi Cabo Verde Cambodia Cameroon Canada Central African Republic Chad Chile China Colombia Comoros Costa Rica Côte d’Ivoire Croatia Cuba

  • Which states are swing states? Here are the results to watch this year

    The list of swing states is far from static: It changes as voting patterns shift. Florida, for instance, was a key swing state for many years, but has trended increasingly Republican and has lost that status. The same is true for Ohio. Meanwhile Georgia was once reliably red, but is now in play for Democrats. Stickers sit on a table at a polling location on November 8, 2022 in Atlanta, Georgia. [...] This story originally appeared as part of NPR's live coverage of the 2024 election. For more election coverage from the NPR Network head to our live updates page. As Americans cast their ballots in this historic election, some votes — as usual — matter more than others. This election, there are seven states widely seen as competitive: the "Blue Wall" states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, and the Sun Belt states of Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia. Loading... [...] In practice, that means that voters in these swing states — states where the race between the candidates is very close, and could be swayed one way or another — have disproportional impact on the national results.